The last time Joe Burrow and Tua Tagovailoa took the field against each other, Burrow’s LSU team outlasted Tua’s Alabama team, 46-41. The soon-to-be Heisman trophy winner threw for 393 yards that day; Tua threw for 418. Between them, they had 7 touchdown passes.
A few months later, they were the first 2 quarterbacks selected in the 2020 NFL Draft; Burrow went #1 overall; Tagovailoa heard his name called 4 picks later.
It would have been the 3rd matchup between the two quarterbacks after having played twice while in college (Tua won their 2018 face-off, 29-zip).
Unfortunately, Joe Burrow’s rookie campaign ended on November 22nd.
Tagovailoa threw for 296 yards against the Bengals that year in a 19-7 Miami win, continuing the Dolphins’ dominance in the series (18-7 all-time, including playoffs).
Fast forward to 2022.
Two weeks ago, Tua threw for 469 yards and had a half dozen touchdown passes against the favored Ravens on the road.
Last week, he led his team to a 2-point win over the favored Bills at home.
Tagovailoa is currently #2 in the league in passing yards and quarterback rating. He’s #1 in QBR and #4 in completion percentage.
More importantly, at 3-0, Tua’s Dolphins are the AFC’s last unbeaten team.
Despite all of that, it is Joe Burrow and the 1-2 Bengals (-200) who are favored over Tagovailoa and the Dolphins (+170) tonight.
DraftKings Sportsbook has it as a 4-point spread with the Over/Under at 47.
Personally, I’m hoping for a good old fashioned shootout like the last time these 2 quarterbacks faced off.
Something in the neighborhood of 42-38 would be great fun.
Here are the Field Gulls staff’s picks which will populate with more predictions as the week progresses: