The Seattle Seahawks lost last week’s Thanksgiving matchup against the San Francisco 49ers 31-13 with Seattle’s only touchdown coming from the defense. Geno Smith battled through an injured arm and the offensive line struggled, as they allowed 6 sacks against Nick Bosa and company. Seattle’s struggles upfront might rear its ugly head again this week against the Dallas Cowboys, who possess a defense that features the likes of Micah Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence.
Because of the expected struggles for the Seattle offensive line among some other reasons, Dallas is currently an 8.5-point favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook with the over/under being 47.5. Those are two numbers which can be a bit awkward to bet, but there are some intriguing player props for this week’s game, four of which we will break down below.
Jason Myers o1.5 field goals (+100)
Honestly, I think this Seahawks offense is going to struggle to sustain and finish drives. Traditionally, when that is the case, the team’s field goal kicker is often the biggest beneficiary. Myers has not been overly accurate this season, as his 80.6 field goal percentage ranks 25th amongst kickers with double digits attempts this season. I do understand that Dallas has not allowed a field goal kicker to have multiple attempts in a game since the end of October. However, over Seattle’s last 3 games, Myers has 12 combined attempts, and he’s made at least one field goal in every game since Week 3 of last season. I think the 32-year-old will likely get 3-4 field goal attempts against the Cowboys which means he should hit this one easily.
Zach Charbonnet over 12.5 rushing attempts (-145)
This is a juiced up play, but I think it is worth it for a couple of reasons:
1.) Dallas’ run defense can be susceptible at times and attacking that weakness will likely be a point of emphasis for Shane Waldron’s group.
2.) If Seattle is going to win this game, they must win the time of possession battle and the best way to do that is grind out the clock with the running game. Yes, there are some concerns that this game could get out of hand, which in theory would eliminate the Seattle rushing attack. But despite Dallas running away with their last three games, teams have still tried to maintain a rushing attack against them. The Giants had 27 passes to 23 runs (lost by 32), Carolina had 29 passes to 23 rushes (lost by 23), and the Commanders had 44 to 27 (lost by 35). So even if Dallas runs away with it early, this is a line Charbonnet still should hit.
Tyler Lockett over 4.5 receptions (-105)
This has the feel of a Tyler Lockett security blanket style of game. Over their last few games, the receivers who have posted big numbers are Adam Thielen (74 yards on 8 catches) Curtis Samuel (100 yards on 9 catches) and Jahan Dotson (52 yards on 5 catches). Over his last 6 games, Lockett has averaged 10.4 yards per reception on 31 catches, so this is the type of game he should feast in.
KaVontae Turpin u0.5 rushing yards (-125)
I’m a little surprised by this line. In 8 games this season, Turpin has received carries in only five games and in three of them he got just a single carry. He has not received more than one tote since Week 2 against the Jets, and has had one or more rushing yards just once in his last five games. There is some risk to a line of this nature, of course, but I think it is a great value play seeing as he will likely have one chance to surpass this number.