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NFC Playoff Picture, Week 14: Seahawks mathematically bounced from NFC West race

It’s tied for the longest division title drought since the Seahawks returned to the NFC West in 2002.

NFL: Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Seahawks are 6-7 and four games back of the San Francisco 49ers with four weeks to go. Since the 49ers have the tiebreaker by virtue of their season sweep, this means that the Seahawks are out of the NFC West division hunt. At the start of November, the Seahawks lead the division over the 49ers. Life comes at you fast.

Here’s what the NFC standings look like, pending the Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles game.

Division Leaders

1. Philadelphia Eagles (10-2) SNF

2. San Francisco 49ers (10-3)

3. Detroit Lions (9-4)

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers* (6-7, win percentage in common games over ATL, win over NO)

Wild Card

5. Dallas Cowboys (9-3) SNF

6. Minnesota Vikings (7-6)

7. Green Bay Packers (6-6) MNF

Out of the Playoffs

8. Los Angeles Rams+ (6-7, wins over SEA, 4-4 NFC)

9. Seattle Seahawks+ (6-7, losses to LAR, 5-4 NFC record)

10. Atlanta Falcons*+ (6-7, lose win percentage in common games vs TB, win over NO, 4-5 NFC)

11. New Orleans Saints*+ (6-7, losses to ATL & TB)

12. Chicago Bears (5-8)

13. New York Giants (4-8) MNF

14. Washington Commanders (4-9)

15. Arizona Cardinals (3-10)


16. Carolina Panthers (1-12)

The New York Times playoff machine gives Seattle’s odds at 16%.

With only one division title and one playoff win since 2017, this is the worst stretch of Seahawks football we’ve seen in terms of division superiority and postseason success since the pre-2005 Mike Holmgren years.

It’s wild card or bust for the Seahawks, and it’s looking like bust.