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Seahawks vs 49ers prop bets: Is DK Metcalf set to have another big game?

Can Geno Smith and co. finally flip the script on the 49ers defense?

Seattle Seahawks v Dallas Cowboys Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images

The Seattle Seahawks enter their week 14 battle against the San Francisco 49ers as losers of 4 of their last 5 games. They’ve had some close losses in that span, losing by six against the Dallas Cowboys last week and a single point against the LA Rams three weeks ago. But they also lost to the 49ers by 18 on Thanksgiving, as well as 34 to the Baltimore Ravens in Week 9. As a result of those struggles and inconsistencies, Seattle enters this week as an 11-point underdog against the Niners on DraftKings Sportsbook. Despite the expected one sided nature of this matchup though, DK still expects there to be some points. Currently, the over/under sits at 47, the 3rd highest total for this week.

Jason Myers over 1.5 field goals made (+105)

Another week, another Jason Myers prop. Yes, he didn’t hit it last week but that was largely in part because Seattle was far more efficient than I think anyone expected. Against San Fran two weeks ago, Myers attempted three field goals, two of which went through. Prior to the Dallas faceoff, he had three consecutive games where he attempted three or more field goals. I’d expect for Myers to hit this prop comfortably.

Geno Smith passing attempts over 34.5 (-125)

(Note: This was written before news of Geno Smith’s injury, which could make him a game-time decision)

The Seattle offense has struggled to run the ball over their past few games. Zach Charbonnet averaged 3.2 YPC against Dallas and 3.4 against San Fran two weeks ago. Kenneth Walker lll’s potential return can spark the rushing attack, but he’s rushed for 70 or more yards just three times this season. As a result, if Seattle can stay competitive in this one, I think it is going to come through the arm of Geno Smith. Geno has hit this total in two of his last four games, with one of his misses against the Los Angeles Rams game, when he finished with 34 and missed some time due to injury.

DK Metcalf over 4.5 receptions (-140)

This Seattle passing attack has become predicated on getting No. 14 the football as much as possible. Over his last 4 games he has 38 targets and 21 receptions. Additionally, last Thursday’s game against Dallas was the 6th time in Seattle’s last 7 games where he was targeted 8 or more times. If the Seahawks continue this trend, Metcalf should surpass this total by 1 or 2 catches.

George Kittle over 49.5 receiving yards (-120)

Kittle didn’t hit this total against Seattle two weeks ago, but that was because they had next to zero answer for the run. There is of course no guarantee Seattle will on Sunday, but, one would have to expect for Clint Hurtt to load the box and dare San Fran to beat them through the air. If that were to happen, look for Kittle to have a big day. In his last 8 games, Kittle has had 67 or more receiving yards 6 times. The only times he didn’t were the aforementioned Thanksgiving game against the Seahawks and rough weather game against the Cleveland Browns that game in the middle of October.

There is of course some risk that these props will be hurt by a potential blowout, but, the game script should remain true long enough for these to hit.