FanPost

Tiering up the Season

In fantasy football one way to organize and rank players is to put them into tiers. In this season look-ahead for the Seahawks, I use tiers for offense, defense and quarterback to predict an outcome … a win, loss or a game that could swing either way. The prediction is based on an even weighting for offense and defense with the QB and home/away swinging the even and nearly even games. You can scream about the rankings and the process (please do) but this is generally where I see things are at this point.

Seahawks Ranks

  • Offense: Tier 3
  • Defense: Tier 3
  • QB (Geno): Tier3

Week 1 vs LA Rams at Home

  • QB (Stafford, Tier 2)
  • Offense: Tier 4
  • Defense: Tier 1
  • Difference: Swing-
  • Prediction: Loss

This game will be all about the Rams defense. The home crowd needs to offset Stafford’s advantage and the defense needs have a good game to give the Seahawks a chance to prevent two losses this season to the Rams.

Week 2 vs Detroit Away

  • QB (Goff, Tier 3)
  • Offense: Tier 2
  • Defense: Tier 5
  • Difference: Swing+
  • Prediction: Win

Geno and the offense needs take it to the Lions. Last year was a high scoring shootout and the defense needs to keep them under control this year. The Seahawks need at least a split of these first two games. They need to win both to signal they are contender this year.

Week 3 vs Carolina at Home

  • QB (Young, Tier 4)
  • Offense: Tier 4
  • Defense: Tier 4
  • Difference: +2
  • Prediction: Win

Should be no problem. They do need to play to their potential.

Week 4 vs NY Giants Away

  • QB (Jones Tier 3)
  • Offense: Tier 3
  • Defense: Tier 3
  • Difference: Swing
  • Prediction: Loss

This loss between two evenly matched teams is all about the time zones. If the Seahawks are playing well this could be a win.

BYE

Week 6 vs Bengals Away

  • QB (Burrow Tier 1)
  • Offense: Tier 1
  • Defense: Tier 4
  • Difference: -1
  • Prediction: Loss

Would be nice to take advantage of their defense but still an unlikely win.

Week 7 vs Arizona at Home

  • QB (McCoy Tier 4)
  • Offense: Tier 6
  • Defense: Tier 4
  • Difference: +4
  • Prediction: Win

Need to play like the superior team that they are.

Week 8 vs Cleveland at Home

  • QB (Watson Tier 2)
  • Offense: Tier 3
  • Defense: Tier 2
  • Difference: Swing-
  • Prediction: Win

Should be able to take this Swing game at home. Watson could be trouble but we just need to keep him bottled up.

Week 9 vs Baltimore Away

  • QB (Jackson Tier 2)
  • Offense: Tier 2
  • Defense: Tier 1
  • Difference: -3
  • Prediction: Loss

Jackson + very good defense + Away … a win only if the Seahawks have turned into a very good team and Geno is now busting out of Tier 3 or the injury bug has bitten the Ravens.

Week 10 vs Washington at Home

  • QB (Howell Tier 4)
  • Offense: Tier 4
  • Defense: Tier 1
  • Difference: Swing-
  • Prediction: Win

Seahawks will win at home in a lower scoring game.

Week 11 vs LA Rams Away

  • QB (Stafford Tier 2)
  • Offense: Tier 4
  • Defense: Tier 1
  • Difference: Swing-
  • Prediction: Loss

Can the Seahawks turn this loss into a win on the road? That would be a major step forward.

Week 12 vs 49ers at Home

  • QB (Purdy Tier 4)
  • Offense: Tier 2
  • Defense: Tier 2
  • Difference: -2
  • Prediction: Loss

SF is good. Will Purdy still be the guy? Who knows. As it is now they look to be the better team.

Week 13 vs Dallas Away

  • QB (Prescott Tier 2)
  • Offense: Tier 2
  • Defense: Tier 4
  • Difference: Swing
  • Prediction: Loss

Away against another Tier 2 QB… Need to be on a late season run to win this one with the offense and defense on a roll.

Week 14 vs 49ers Away

  • QB (Purdy Tier 4)
  • Offense: Tier 2
  • Defense: Tier 2
  • Difference: -2
  • Prediction: Loss

Are the Seahawks on their level yet? From this preseason standpoint, no.

Week 15 vs Eagles at Home

  • QB (Hurts Tier 2)
  • Offense: Tier 2
  • Defense: Tier 3
  • Difference: Swing-
  • Prediction: Loss

All comes down to who is the big dog at this point in the season. Hurts will be hard to control.

Week 16 vs Titans Away

  • QB (Tannehill Tier 3)
  • Offense: Tier 5
  • Defense: Tier 5
  • Difference: +4
  • Prediction: Win

The Titans have likely given up by now and are playing for draft position.

Week 17 vs Steelers at Home

  • QB (Pickett Tier 4)
  • Offense: Tier 5
  • Defense: Tier 1
  • Difference: Swing
  • Prediction: Win

Geno and Company should be able to put up enough points for the win.

Week 18 vs Arizona Away

  • QB (McCoy Tier 4)
  • Offense: Tier 6
  • Defense: Tier 4
  • Difference: +4
  • Prediction: Win

A good game to finish with. Just keep the injuries at bay.

Prediction: 8 wins 9 losses … this is most likely their floor.

They could be 11 and 6 and that is probably their ceiling.

They have a chance at 11 wins but to do that they need to win some of those Swing losses. To get there, Geno needs to step up to play at Tier 2 level, like a lot of people think he already is, and the defense needs to keep them in the game.