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We're in Week 12 of the NFL season, and the eventual Super Bowl Champion Seattle Seahawks are enjoying their bye. They're 10-1.
The Hawks will lose two more regular-season games. They won't lose in the playoffs, however. Instead, they will cap off a championship season by gathering wide acclaim as one of the all-time great defenses in history.
That's in part because they will give up a mere nine touchdowns over the eight games that remain. A pace of 18 over a full season -- practically nobody does that. Context:
TD's allowed | Total Points Allowed | |
Hawks post-bye, prorated for 16 games | 18 | 184 |
The much-lauded 2000 Ravens defense | 18 | 165 |
The celebrated 2002 Buccaneers defense | 25 | 196 |
Oh, and the Seahawks set that pace against the following offenses, as ranked by weighted DVOA:
5, 7, 30, 15, 22, 5, 7, 1
Yep, the offenses Seattle faced down the stretch averaged an 11.5 ranking, and more often than not, they ranked in the top seven of the league. I'll wager the 2000 Ravens and 2002 Bucs faced no such gauntlet.
So that's impressive. There's more yet -- I'd like to posit that Seattle was even better at keeping teams out of the end zone than the stats indicate. Of the nine touchdowns allowed:
* Four were inconsequential to the final result
* Three came from a single championship-caliber team
* Three had a 0.0 effect on WPA
* Three came on fourth-down attempts
* Two were on passes tipped by the defensive back
* One occurred with six seconds left in a half
* One came on the opponent's only third down conversion of the half
* One, and one only, came from a team with fewer than 10 wins
* One, and one only, came from a team in the bottom half of weighted DVOA offensive rankings.
There is tape for each touchdown. There might even be .gifs, .gifs of sadness, because I know you love .gifs even if they are frosted with unhappiness. On with it, then.
TD 1: vs. Saints, Week 13
Time: 8:48, QTR 2
What and Who: 2-yard catch by TE Jimmy Graham.
Score: Brought NO to within 17-7.
WPA: -1.5
Did it matter? It was their only score in a 34-7 whoopin'. What do you think?
Was it fluky? No. Graham is a top performer in 31 out of 32 NFL stadiums.
The Tape
A .gif of sadness was unavailable, so I found this instead
TD 2: at 49ers, Week 14
Time: 0:06, QTR 2
What and Who: 8-yard catch by TE Vernon Davis.
Score: Put SF ahead 16-14.
WPA: -13.8
Did it matter? Lots. The Niners were shut out for the next 29 minutes of play.
Was it fluky? Not really. The timing was unfortunate, and Wagner alllmost makes the tackle at the 1-yard-line, but Davis is athletic enough to lunge past the goal line before his knee hits the turf.
The Tape
JPEG of sadness but also great photo
TD 3: vs. Cards, Week 16
Time: 2:20, QTR 4
What and Who: 31-yard catch by WR Michael Floyd
Score: Put AZ ahead 17-10
WPA: -35.8
Did it matter? It led to Russell Wilson's only home loss of his career. Yeah it mattered.
Was it fluky? Very. CB Byron Maxwell tips the ball, yet it caroms to the receiver, then Maxwell hits it again in Floyd's hands. 98 times out of 100, that ball falls incomplete. It was Floyd's only catch of the game.
Tape
.gif of sadness but also holy moly
TD 4: vs. Rams, Week 17
Time: 4:17, QTR 4
What and Who: 2-YD catch by TE Jared Cook.
Score: Brought STL to within 27-9.
WPA: -0.0
Did it matter? Maybe to Cook's mom.
Was it fluky? Nope.
The Tape
.gif of sadness -- this is the right one, no? No? Oh well.
TD 5: vs. Saints, Divisional Playoff
Time: 13:11, QTR 4
What and Who: 1-yard run by Khiry Robinson.
Score: Brought NO to within 16-8.
WPA: -3.7
Did it matter? No, not even after Golden tried to make it matter.
Was it fluky? Robinson only carried the ball 54 times all year, scoring a grand total of once in the regular season. So, kind of fluky. It also represented the Saints' only third-down conversion of the entire second half. So, kind of fluky.
Tape
This will have to do in place of a .gif of sadness; what an astute celebration, Khiry
TD 6: vs. Saints, Divisional Playoff
Time: 0:26, QTR 4
What and Who: 9-yard catch by Marques Colston.
Score: Brought NO to within 23-15.
WPA: -0.0 (that's what the calculator says)
Did it matter? No, not even after Golden tried to make it matter.
Was it fluky? It was on fourth down and the Hawks were in a prevent-style defense. It wasn't fluky but Seattle's going to thwart that kind of touchdown way more often than not, if it's playing honest defense in a close game.
The Tape
.gif of sadness that happened on the next play... Lions, buyer beware
TD 7: vs. 49ers, NFCGG
Time: 10:03, QTR 2
What and Who: 1-yard run by Anthony Dixon.
Score: Put SF ahead 10-0.
WPA: -10.8
Did it matter? At the time? Sure.
Was it fluky? Another fourth-down conversion. Dixon had been stuffed on the previous play, which was the same play call. Ballsy, but not technically fluky. Still pretty telling that it took four downs to make it happen.
The Tape
.gif of sadness (actual)
TD 8: vs. 49ers, NFCGG
Time: 6:29, QTR 3
What and Who: 26-yard catch by Anquan Boldin.
Score: Put SF ahead 17-10.
WPA: -15.9
Did it matter? If you view tipped passes as a kind of foreshadowing, then yes.
Was it fluky? Hell of an athletic play is what it was, probably not reproducible. Under heavy pressure, Kaepernick fires a jump-ball missile that only three guys in the league would even consider trying. Earl tracks it, and tips it, because that's what we do, but the throw's velocity survives his outstretched hand. Somehow, Boldin adjusts and catches it anyway in the back of the end zone. Hell of an athletic play.
The Tape
That's unnecessary, man, considering the quality of the footage below.
Another actual .gif of sadness but damn those are some grown-ass men out there
TD 9: vs. Broncos, XLVIII
Time: 0:00, QTR 3
What and Who: 14-yard catch by Demaryius Thomas.
Score: Please.
WPA: -0.0
Did it matter? No team has ever been shut out in the Super Bowl. Historically, yes, it mattered.
Was it fluky? Yet again, it takes an offense four downs to reach the end zone against the Hawks.
The Tape
Link to crappy youtube.com highlight video just because haha Broncos